Karst#

[text here]

Introduction#

Methods#

## 2.1 Collating Ground-Based GWR Estimates

Ground-based GWR estimates from hundreds of published studies and databases were compiled into a single global dataset. Each estimate was:

  • Mapped to a 0.5° × 0.5° grid cell (same as WaterGAP resolution).

  • Standardized in units and reference period to ensure comparability.

  • Filtered to remove duplicates, outliers, and short-term measurements.

The result is a harmonized benchmark dataset of grid-cell GWR used for tuning and validation.

## 2.2 Simulating GWR With WaterGAP 2.2e

### Overview

WaterGAP partitions effective precipitation into runoff components and then computes diffuse groundwater recharge (GWR) as a capped fraction of one component.

### Step 1 — Partition Effective Precipitation

  1. Urban runoff R₁: 50% of effective precipitation on urban land is direct runoff.

  2. Soil overflow R₂: Excess water when soil storage exceeds capacity.

  3. Nonlinear runoff R₃ (Eq. 1):

[ R_3 = P_{text{eff}} left(frac{S_s}{S_{s,max}}right)^{gamma} ]

where (S_s) is current soil water storage, (S_{s,max}) its maximum capacity, and (gamma) a calibrated exponent.

### Step 2 — Compute Diffuse Recharge (Eqs. 2 & 3)

[ R_g = min(R_{g,max}, f_g cdot R_3) ]

where (f_g) is the product of four modifiers:

[ f_g = f_r cdot f_t cdot f_h cdot f_{pg} ]

  • f_r: relief/slope factor

  • f_t: soil texture factor

  • f_h: hydrogeology factor

  • f_pg: permafrost/glacier factor

Daily maximum recharge (R_{g,max}) is capped by soil type (coarse: 7 mm/d, medium: 4.5 mm/d, fine: 2.5 mm/d).

### Step 3 — Groundwater Storage

Recharge is added to a groundwater store and released to rivers as baseflow:

[ Q_{gw to sw} = k cdot S_{gw} ]

where (k) is the groundwater discharge coefficient and (S_{gw}) groundwater storage.

## 2.3 Simulating GWR in Karst

### Localization of Karst Areas

Karst is identified using the World Karst Aquifer Map (WOKAM). The karst fraction of each grid cell is computed as (Eq. 4):

[ f_{text{karst}} = min left(f_{k,max}, frac{sum_i text{Share}_i A_{text{overlay},i}}{A_{text{cont}}}right) ]

where shares are 0.4 for discontinuous and 0.9 for continuous/mixed categories, capped at (f_{k,max}=0.9).

### Karst GWR Calculation

For karst cells, recharge is simply:

[ R_{g,text{karst}} = R_3 ]

### Combine Karst and Non-Karst Recharge (Eq. 8)

[ R_{g,text{grid}} = frac{f_{text{karst,land}}}{f_{text{land}}} R_{g,text{karst}} + left(1 - frac{f_{text{karst,land}}}{f_{text{land}}}right) R_g ]

This weights karst recharge and diffuse recharge by their respective land fractions.

## 2.4 Modifying the Computation of GWR Outside of Karst Areas

### Data Updates

  • Relief factor: recalculated using modern global DEMs.

  • Soil factor: updated from Harmonized World Soil Database.

### Revised Recharge Cap (Eq. 7)

[ R_{g,max} = begin{cases} 7.0 & text{coarse soils} \ 4.5 & text{medium soils} \ 2.5 & text{fine soils} end{cases} ]

Recharge in semi-arid coarse soils is only generated when precipitation exceeds 12.5 mm/d.

### Regional Adjustments

  • Removed Mississippi Embayment correction (no longer needed).

  • Removed Bangladesh wetland mask (allowed recharge).

### Calibration

Parameters (f_r, f_t) were tuned against the global GWR dataset, minimizing bias and RMSE while preserving streamflow match.

## 2.5 Parameter Tuning Procedure

A global optimization approach was applied:

  1. Run baseline simulation with initial parameters.

  2. Compute error between simulated and observed GWR.

  3. Adjust (f_r, f_t, f_h, f_{pg}, k) within plausible ranges.

  4. Re-simulate, recalculate error, iterate until convergence.

Performance was measured using RMSE, bias, and fit to streamflow signatures.

## 2.6 Validation

After tuning, model results were validated against:

  • Independent GWR data not used in calibration.

  • Streamflow observations from GRDC stations.

This ensured that improved recharge estimation did not degrade river discharge performance.

## 2.7 Impact Analysis

Finally, the impact of the methodological improvements was analyzed:

  • Global mean GWR: compared to previous WaterGAP versions.

  • Spatial distribution: mapped to assess regional differences.

  • Contribution of karst: quantified as percentage of global recharge.

  • Streamflow fit: checked to ensure good agreement with observed hydrographs.

Summary: Chapter 2 describes how WaterGAP 2.2e was enhanced by explicitly simulating karst recharge, updating input data for non-karst regions, tuning parameters to a large global dataset, and validating results against observations. These steps yield more reliable global GWR estimates and improve agreement with both point measurements and streamflow records.